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Savannah industrial development after the supply wave

Southeast port industrial investment in 2026: Savannah at 14.1% vacancy, 4.0M SF under construction, $1.3B in sales at $133 PSF, named trades, lease-up math.

MotionCRE EditorialPublished July 1, 2026

Savannah's industrial market ended Q4 2025 with 14.1 percent vacancy, flat quarter over quarter, as 2.3 million SF of new deliveries met 834,890 SF of net absorption, per Lee & Associates. The development pipeline is thinning, with 4.0 million SF under construction, down from 5.0 million a quarter earlier and excluding the Hyundai Metaplant's roughly 5 million SF. Rolling 12-month sales reached $1.3 billion at an average $133 per SF, and the Port of Savannah moved nearly 5.7 million TEUs in 2025.

Where Savannah stands after the supply wave

Savannah spent the last cycle as the fastest-expanding industrial market on the East Coast, and 2026 is the year the market digests what it built. Per Lee & Associates' Q4 2025 Savannah industrial report, vacancy held at 14.1 percent in Q4 2025, unchanged from Q3, as 2.3 million SF of new deliveries met 834,890 SF of net absorption.

The forward pipeline is the real story. Under-construction volume fell to 4.0 million SF from 5.0 million SF a quarter earlier, and that figure excludes the Hyundai Metaplant's roughly 5 million SF build-to-suit campus. Lee's quarterly series shows 2025 net absorption of roughly 7.3 million SF for the year, front-loaded by a 4.7 million SF first quarter. Development discipline plus intact demand is the setup for vacancy to grind down through 2026 rather than up.

Metric (Lee & Associates)Q4 2025Q3 2025
Vacancy rate14.1%14.1%
Net absorption834,890 SF1.1M SF
New supply delivered2.3M SF607,424 SF
Under construction (excl. Hyundai Metaplant)4.0M SF5.0M SF
Avg. asking rent (annual)$8.54/SF$8.51/SF
Avg. sales price$133/SF$130/SF
Rolling 12-month sales volume$1.3B$1.3B

One caution for underwriters comparing reports: Cushman & Wakefield's Savannah MarketBeat has the market entering Q1 2026 at 9.9 percent overall vacancy. That is not a contradiction of Lee's 14.1 percent so much as a different inventory baseline and tracking methodology. Pick one provider per metric in your model, footnote which one, and never average the two.

Where Savannah fits in Southeast port-industrial investment for 2026

For a 2026 Southeast port-industrial allocation, Savannah is the region's deepest big-box market and its clearest read on where the cycle has turned. The Georgia coast pairs the second-busiest container port in the country with the land, rail, and interstate access to build million-SF distribution product, which is why national developers and institutional capital treat it as the anchor of the Charleston-to-Savannah logistics corridor. Charleston plays a complementary role with a smaller, tighter industrial base, so the two markets tend to trade demand rather than compete head to head.

The corridor's demand drivers are shared: import volume routed away from West Coast congestion, retailer and 3PL network expansion across the Southeast, and manufacturing reshoring anchored by projects like the Hyundai Metaplant. What separates the markets for an underwriter is scale and current basis. Savannah offers more standing inventory, a longer 2026 delivery calendar, and a visible vacancy peak to buy against, which is a different risk profile than a supply-constrained port with thinner comps.

The rest of this brief is the Savannah underwriting case in numbers: vacancy, the thinning construction pipeline, port throughput, named trades, and the lease-up math a 2026 start has to survive.

The port engine underneath the real estate

Savannah industrial demand is a derivative of container volume, and container volume keeps setting near-records. The Georgia Ports Authority moved nearly 5.7 million TEUs in calendar 2025, up 2.6 percent (146,000 TEUs) over 2024 and second only to the roughly 5.9 million TEUs of 2022, across 1,669 container ship calls.

That volume is what backfills big-box space. The largest Q4 2025 lease in Lee's report was Smart Supply Chain taking 594,522 SF at 122 Dorchester Village Rd in Midway, followed by JF Fulfillment at 482,755 SF in Bloomingdale. Both are new leases, not renewals, which is the demand signal that matters in a market working through double-digit vacancy on some baselines.

For a development team, the port data is the underwriting anchor. Container throughput growing at low single digits supports steady tenant demand; it does not support the 2022-era assumption that any spec box leases during construction. The market has moved from land-rush math to absorption math.

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What traded in Q4 2025, with names and numbers

Rolling 12-month sales volume held at $1.3 billion, with Q4 pricing averaging $133 per SF, up from $130 in Q3, per Lee & Associates. Institutional buyers took 42 percent of 2025 volume and private buyers 33 percent, with users at 19 percent.

The named trades give developers real exit comps:

  • Ares Industrial Real Estate Income Trust bought 110 Little Hearst Pky Building 2 in Pooler (Port Wentworth submarket), 281,467 SF, from EQT Real Estate for $36.2 million, or $128.61 per SF, as part of a portfolio sale.
  • Pattillo Industrial Real Estate bought 1000 Gateway Pky Building 1E in Rincon (Effingham County), 380,800 SF, from BROE Real Estate for $52.5 million, or $137.89 per SF.
  • Pattillo also took 1010 Branch Rd Building 2E in Rincon, 248,000 SF, for $33.4 million, or $134.64 per SF, from the same seller.

The spread matters: recent institutional-quality product in port-adjacent submarkets is clearing in a band of roughly $128 to $138 per SF. If your development pro forma needs a $160 per SF exit to pencil, the Q4 tape does not support it yet.

The 2026 delivery calendar

Lee's construction table lists what lands next. The largest 2026 deliveries include Central Port Logistics Center Building 6 (769,500 SF, Outlying Chatham County, Q1), Savannah Interchange Park (670,022 SF, Q2), Savannah Gateway Industrial Hub Building 2F (584,820 SF, Effingham County, Q2), and Port Wentworth Commerce Center (538,775 SF, Q2). Three more Horizon 16 Industrial Park buildings totaling roughly 657,000 SF follow through Q3.

Run the supply-demand math a lender will run on your deal. Absorption over the last three quarters of 2025 totaled about 2.6 million SF, an annualized pace of roughly 3.5 million SF. Against 4.0 million SF under construction, that is about 14 months of pipeline at the current demand pace, before touching existing vacant stock. A spec building delivering mid-2026 should be underwritten with 12 to 18 months of lease-up, not the pre-leased-at-delivery assumption of 2022.

Carry the math into dollars. A 280,000 SF spec box at the Q4 average asking rent of $8.54 per SF represents about $2.4 million in annual gross rent. Every quarter of vacancy costs roughly $600,000 in forgone rent plus taxes, insurance, and debt service. On a project capitalized near the Ares comp of $128 per SF ($35.8 million), six months of lease-up slippage moves returns by more than a full point of yield-on-cost. That sensitivity, not the headline vacancy rate, is what should drive your go or no-go on a 2026 start.

Running a Savannah development pipeline

A developer active in Savannah is typically juggling land in Effingham or Bryan County, one or two vertical projects, and a lease-up, each with its own entitlement calendar, GC draws, lender reporting, and broker updates. That is a tracking problem before it is a real estate problem. Teams run it on a pipeline board with a stage for each phase from site control through stabilization, and a deal workspace per project holding the files, key dates, and contacts that otherwise scatter across inboxes. Due diligence tracking is part of deal workspaces, which matters in a market where environmental and wetlands review can decide a site.

Financing outreach runs parallel: construction lenders, credit unions, and debt funds all quoting the same deal, best compared side by side with financing tracking attached to the project record. Teams underwriting multiple port markets can compare this setup against the Inland Empire market brief, and industrial-specific pipeline structure is covered in our guide to deal management for industrial developers. MotionCRE's industrial solution covers both the acquisition and development sides.

The read for 2026

Port-market diligence specifics

Savannah sites carry diligence items inland markets skip. Drayage economics decide the real catchment: a site 30 minutes from the terminal gates competes differently than one at 60, and tenants price the difference. Wetlands are the second: coastal Georgia parcels routinely carry delineation and mitigation questions that belong in screening, not in month two of diligence. Labor is the third, since the same construction wave that filled the pipeline is competing for the same workforce. Developers who standardize these checks screen Savannah land the way locals do.

Savannah is transitioning from expansion-phase chaos to a balanced market with a visible bottom. Vacancy has stopped rising on Lee's baseline, the construction pipeline is down 20 percent quarter over quarter, pricing is firming at $133 per SF, and the port just posted its second-busiest year on record. For developers, the opportunity has shifted from speed-to-market to basis and patience: control good sites now, underwrite honest lease-up periods, and let the thinning pipeline do the work on rents into 2027.

Browse more playbooks, templates, and definitions in the MotionCRE resource library.

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Pipeline value
$148.9M
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Is the Savannah industrial market overbuilt?

It is absorbing a large supply wave rather than adding to one. Lee & Associates puts Q4 2025 vacancy at 14.1 percent, unchanged from Q3, with under-construction volume down to 4.0 million SF from 5.0 million the prior quarter. Deliveries are still landing, including 2.3 million SF in Q4 2025 alone, but the development pipeline is the most disciplined it has been this cycle. The market's trajectory depends on port-driven tenant demand continuing to absorb recently delivered space through 2026.

Why do vacancy figures for Savannah industrial differ between brokerages?

Because each firm tracks a different inventory baseline and building-size cutoff. Lee & Associates reported 14.1 percent vacancy for Q4 2025, while Cushman & Wakefield reported Savannah entering Q1 2026 at 9.9 percent. Neither figure is wrong. They measure different building sets over slightly different periods. Deal teams should pick one provider per metric when underwriting and note the methodology, rather than averaging figures from different datasets.

What are industrial rents in Savannah?

Average asking rent was $8.54 per SF annually in Q4 2025, up slightly from $8.51 in Q3, per Lee & Associates. Rent growth has moderated to a more normalized pace after several years of outsized increases during the port-driven expansion. Asking rents vary meaningfully by submarket, building vintage, and proximity to the port terminals and Interstate 16 corridor.

How much industrial space is under construction in Savannah?

Lee & Associates counted 4.0 million SF under construction at the end of Q4 2025, down from 5.0 million SF in Q3. That figure excludes the Hyundai Metaplant's roughly 5 million SF development in Bryan County, which is a build-to-suit manufacturing campus rather than speculative logistics space. Notable projects delivering in 2026 include the 769,500 SF Central Port Logistics Center Building 6 and the 670,022 SF Savannah Interchange Park.

Who is buying industrial property in Savannah?

Institutional capital led 2025 buying at 42 percent of volume, followed by private buyers at 33 percent, per Lee & Associates. Named Q4 2025 trades include Ares Industrial Real Estate Income Trust buying a 281,467 SF Pooler building from EQT Real Estate for $36.2 million ($128.61 per SF) and Pattillo Industrial Real Estate buying two Rincon buildings from BROE Real Estate totaling 628,800 SF for roughly $85.9 million, all as parts of portfolio sales.

How does the Port of Savannah affect industrial demand?

The port is the market's demand engine. The Georgia Ports Authority moved nearly 5.7 million TEUs in calendar 2025, up 2.6 percent from 2024 and second only to the roughly 5.9 million TEUs handled in 2022, across 1,669 container ship calls. Container volume drives the third-party logistics, distribution, and manufacturing tenants that lease Savannah's big-box space, which is why leasing demand has held up even as vacancy sits in the teens on some inventory baselines.

Is Southeast port industrial a good investment in 2026?

The Southeast's port-industrial markets enter 2026 on solid demand fundamentals, with Savannah as the region's leading example. The Port of Savannah moved nearly 5.7 million TEUs in calendar 2025, up 2.6 percent over 2024, which keeps distribution and third-party logistics tenants leasing big-box space. Savannah's vacancy held at 14.1 percent in Q4 2025 per Lee & Associates, and under-construction volume fell to 4.0 million SF from 5.0 million, so new supply is slowing while demand continues. The investment case in 2026 is basis and patience: buy at a visible vacancy peak, underwrite honest 12 to 18 month lease-up periods, and let the thinning pipeline firm rents into 2027.

What is happening with Savannah industrial construction?

Construction is slowing after the supply wave. Lee & Associates counted 4.0 million SF under construction at the end of Q4 2025, down from 5.0 million SF in Q3, excluding the Hyundai Metaplant's roughly 5 million SF build-to-suit campus. Deliveries are still landing, with 2.3 million SF completed in Q4 2025 alone, and 2026 projects include the 769,500 SF Central Port Logistics Center Building 6 in Q1 and the 670,022 SF Savannah Interchange Park in Q2. The pipeline is the most disciplined it has been this cycle, which sets up vacancy to grind down rather than up through 2026.